Costs of War March 2012

Costs of current US imperial wars, courtesy Bill Moyers.

Lessons (Again, because we’re memoryless morons.) of military interventions, this time Libya: “Military interventions that topple repressive regimes invariably offer occasions to observe, though at others’ expense, the law of unintended consequences. Second, the constituencies that clamor for such campaigns move quickly to other matters once those malign consequences become manifest.”

Geist in the Machine

Arundhati Roy’s “Capitalism, a ghost story” is beautifully written and meaty.

“By calling their tower Antilla, do the Ambanis hope to sever their links to the poverty and squalor of their homeland and raise a new civilisation? Is this the final act of the most successful secessionist movement in India? The secession of the middle and upper classes into outer space? 

As night fell over Mumbai, guards in crisp linen shirts with crackling walkie-talkies appeared outside the forbidding gates of Antilla. The lights blazed on, to scare away the ghosts perhaps. The neighbours complain that Antilla’s bright lights have stolen the night. 

 Perhaps it’s time for us to take back the night.”

Again with the Containment of US Lebensraum!

Despite Anglo-Israeli-American efforts to isolate Iran, China is building a $2 bn domestic railway line for Iran that could eventually be linked up with Syrian and Iraq railway networks that extend to the Mediterranean.

As it ever has been in the history of capitalism and apparently ever shall be, the Anglosphere is trying to control and exploit the whole globe, and China and India are working with neighboring countries–like capable Iran–to push back and create their own independent transport routes.

Maoists Win Nepalese Elections 2008

Nepal’s Maoists extend poll lead
Nepal’s Maoist party has increased its lead as more results are declared from the country’s landmark elections.
BBC News
April 13, 2008

The former guerrillas have won 40 out of 79 seats declared, well ahead of all other parties, and far more than many analysts had expected.

Partial results suggest a similar lead elsewhere, polling officials said.

The polls, for an assembly tasked with writing a new constitution, are the first to test the Maoists at the ballot box after their 10-year insurgency.

The BBC’s Charles Haviland in Kathmandu says it is not just the fact that the Maoists are ahead that has caused amazement, but the scale of their lead.

The Maoists have so far won more than three times as many seats as the traditionally powerful Nepali Congress, which is currently in third place.

Many key Maoist leaders have won seats, mostly with very large majorities.

Several senior politicians have lost, including the nephew and daughter of Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala and the leader of the traditional second party, the Communist UML, as well as a veteran royalist Prime Minister, Surya Bahadur Thapa, who came third in his seat.

The new assembly is expected to confirm an agreement made in December between the ruling government alliance and former rebels to abolish the 240-year-old monarchy.


The Maoists’ leader, known by his nom-de-guerre, Prachandra, called the results a “victory” as he celebrated his win on Saturday in the capital, Kathmandu.

“We are fully committed to the peace process and multiparty democracy and to rebuild this country,” he said.

Maoist supporters have been holding victory processions, with red vermillion powder smeared on their faces and red hammer-and-sickle flags in their hands.

The election for the 601-seat assembly is a key element in the peace deal that ended the Maoists’ decade-long insurgency.

Although the Maoists have not yet renounced violence, they will almost certainly now have to adjust from being a party of revolt to being a party at the heart of government, our correspondent says.

Many Nepalis say they voted for the former rebels because they want the new faces that the older parties do not offer, or because the Maoists’ actions have, in many cases, raised the wages they earn.


Results for the 240 constituencies chosen by the first-past-the-post system are expected over the next 10 days, although another 335 seats to be elected by proportional representation are not expected to be decided for several weeks.

The interim government is to appoint the remaining 26 seats.

While the Maoists were widely accused of electoral intimidation and threats ahead of the vote, the figures so far make it clear that even without that kind of fear factor, voters are still giving them a huge mandate, our correspondent says.

Nepal held its first polls since 1999 following the Maoists’ decision to end their armed struggle in 2006.

King Gyanendra seized absolute power in 2005 but was forced to give up his authoritarian rule the following year after weeks of pro-democracy protests.

He has since lost all his powers and his command of the army.


Edited from the article by Revkin, Andrew C. 2005. “A New Measure of Well-Being From a Happy Little Kingdom.” The New York Times, October 4.


What is happiness? In the United States and other liberal countries, it is generally equated with money.

Economists measure consumer confidence on the assumption that the resulting figure says something about progress and public welfare. The gross domestic product, or G.D.P., is routinely used as shorthand for the well-being of a nation.

But the small Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan has been trying out a different idea.

In 1972, concerned about the problems afflicting other developing countries that focused only on economic growth, Bhutan’s newly crowned leader, King Jigme Singye Wangchuck, decided to make his nation’s priority not its G.D.P. but its G.N.H., or gross national happiness.

Bhutan, the king said, needed to ensure that prosperity was shared across society and that it was balanced against preserving cultural traditions, protecting the environment and maintaining a responsive government. The king, now 49, has been instituting policies aimed at accomplishing these goals.

Now Bhutan’s example, while still a work in progress, is serving as a catalyst for far broader discussions of national well-being.

Around the world, a growing number of economists, social scientists, activists, corporate leaders and bureaucrats are trying to develop measurements that take into account not just the flow of money but also access to health care, free time with family, conservation of natural resources and other noneconomic factors.

The goal, according to many involved in this effort, is in part to return to a richer definition of the word happiness, more like what the signers of the Declaration of Independence originally allowed when they included “the pursuit of happiness” as an inalienable right equal to liberty and life itself.

With a strategic eye toward mobilizing Americans across classes to fight the British, the founding fathers initially used an Enlightenment definition of happiness as a balance of individual and community interests. In reaction to the early class conflict resulting in Shea’s Rebellion, “the pursuit of happiness” was soon reduced by the elite founding fathers to the right to own property in the U.S. Constitution.

“The Enlightenment theory of happiness was an expression of public good or the public welfare, of the contentment of the people,” said John Ralston Saul, a Canadian political philosopher. And, he added, this could not be further from “the 20th-century idea that you should smile because you’re at Disneyland.”

Mr. Saul was one of about 400 people from more than a dozen countries who gathered recently to consider new ways to define and assess prosperity. The meeting, held at St. Francis Xavier University in northern Nova Scotia, was a mix of competing ideals and hard-nosed number crunching. Many participants insisted that the focus on commerce and consumption that dominated the 20th century need not be the norm in the 21st century.

Among the attendees were three dozen representatives from Bhutan – teachers, monks, government officials and others – who came to promote what the Switzerland-size country has learned about building a fulfilled, contented society. While household incomes in Bhutan remain among the world’s lowest, life expectancy increased by 19 years from 1984 to 1998, jumping to 66 years. The country, which is preparing to shift to a constitution and an elected government, requires that at least 60 percent of its lands remain forested, welcomes a limited stream of wealthy tourists and exports hydropower to India.

“We have to think of human well-being in broader terms,” said Lyonpo Jigmi Thinley, Bhutan’s home minister and ex-prime minister. “Material well-being is only one component. That doesn’t ensure that you’re at peace with your environment and in harmony with each other.”

It is a concept grounded in Buddhist doctrine, and even a decade ago it might have been dismissed by liberal economists and international policy experts as naïve idealism. Indeed, America’s brief flirtation with a similar concept, encapsulated in E. F. Schumacher’s 1973 bestseller “Small Is Beautiful: Economics as if People Mattered,” ended abruptly with the huge and continuing burst of consumer-driven economic growth that exploded first in industrialized countries and has been spreading in fast-growing developing countries like China. Yet many experts say it was this very explosion of affluence that eventually led some liberal social scientists to admit that economic growth is not synonymous with progress.

In the early stages of a climb out of poverty, for a household or a country, incomes and contentment grow in lockstep. But various studies show that beyond certain thresholds, roughly as annual per capita income passes $10,000 or $20,000, happiness does not keep up. And some countries, studies found, were happier than they should be. Latin American countries, for example, register far more subjective happiness than their economic status would suggest. As well, countries that ignore key social components of well-being in social policy can harvest disproportionately disaffected populations.

Beyond a certain threshold of wealth, people in some societies appear to redefine happiness, studies suggest, focusing on their relative position in society instead of their material status. In a 1998 survey of 257 students, faculty and staff members at the Harvard School of Public Health, the researchers, Sara J. Solnick and David Hemenway, gave the subjects a choice of earning $50,000 a year in a world where the average salary was $25,000 or $100,000 a year where the average was $200,000. About 50 percent of the participants, the researchers found, chose the first option, preferring to be half as prosperous but richer than their neighbors. Such findings perhaps reflect an early and thorough transition from the Enlightenment version of happiness to the inequality-reinforcing capitalist version of happiness-as-property accumulation. The proliferation of competitive relative utility in the U.S. has contributed to the new effort to broaden the way countries and individuals gauge the quality of life.

But researchers have not been able to agree on measuring techniques that can capture the broader concept of well-being.

One approach is to study how individuals perceive the daily flow of their lives, having them keep diary-like charts reflecting how various activities, from paying bills to playing softball, make them feel. A research team at Princeton is working with the Bureau of Labor Statistics to incorporate this kind of charting into its new “time use” survey, which began last year and is given to 4,000 Americans each month. “The idea is to start with life as we experience it and then try to understand what helps people feel fulfilled and create conditions that generate that,” said Dr. Alan B. Krueger, a Princeton economist working on the survey.

In the United States there have been a few experiments, like the Princeton plan to add a happiness component to labor surveys. But the focus remains on economics. The Census Bureau, for instance, still concentrates on collecting information about people’s financial circumstances and possessions, not their perceptions or feelings, said Kurt J. Bauman, a demographer there. But he added that there was growing interest in moving away from simply tracking indicators of poverty, for example, to looking more comprehensively at social conditions. “Measuring whether poverty is going up or down is different than measuring changes in the ability of a family to feed itself,” he said. “There definitely is a growing perception out there that if you focus too narrowly, you’re missing a lot of the picture.”

Another strategy is to track trends that can affect a community’s well-being by mining existing statistics from censuses, surveys and government agencies that track health, the environment, the economy and other societal barometers. The resulting scores can be charted in parallel to see how various indicators either complement or impede each other. In March, Britain said it would begin developing its own “index of well-being,” taking into account factors that seem salient to the liberal British: income, mental illness, civility, access to parks and crime rates. In June, British officials released their first effort along those lines, a summary of British “sustainable development indicators” including crime, traffic, pollution and recycling levels.

In Canada, Hans Messinger, the director of industry measures and analysis for Statistics Canada, has been working informally with about 20 other economists and social scientists to develop that country’s first national index of well-being. Mr. Messinger is the person who, every month, takes the pulse of his country’s economy, sifting streams of data about cash flow to generate the figure called gross domestic product. But for nearly a decade, he has been searching for a better way of measuring the quality of life.

“A sound economy is not an end to itself, but should serve a purpose, to improve society,” Mr. Messinger said. The new well-being index, Mr. Messinger said, will never replace the G.D.P. For one thing, economic activity, affected by weather, labor strikes and other factors, changes far more rapidly than other indicators of happiness. But understanding what fosters well-being, he said, can help policy makers decide how to shape legislation or regulations.

Later this year, the Canadian group plans to release a first attempt at an index – an assessment of community health, living standards and people’s division of time among work, family, voluntarism and other activities. Over the next several years, the team plans to integrate those findings with measurements of education, environmental quality, “community vitality” and the responsiveness of government. Similar initiatives are under way in Australia and New Zealand. Ronald Colman, a political scientist and the research director for Canada’s well-being index, said one challenge was to decide how much weight to give different indicators. In the end, Canada’s index could eventually take the form of a report card rather than a single G.D.P.-like number.

At the conference on Bhutan, organized by Nova Scotian Dr. Colman, participants advocated an array of approaches to the happiness puzzle, from radical to conservative-liberal.

John de Graaf, a reduced-work hours advocate, wore a T-shirt that said, “Medieval peasants worked less than you do.”

Other attendees insisted that old-fashioned capitalism should persist even with a shift to goals broader than just making money. Ray C. Anderson, the founder of Interface Inc., an Atlanta-based carpet company with nearly $1 billion in annual sales, described his company’s 11-year-old program to cut pollution and switch to renewable materials. Mr. Anderson said he was “as competitive as anyone you know and as profit-minded.”

Some experts who attended the weeklong conference questioned whether national well-being should be defined. Just the act of trying to quantify happiness could threaten it, said Frank Bracho, a Venezuelan economist. After all, he insisted, “The most important things in life are not prone to measurement – like love.”

Other economists defended their paradigm by arguing that happiness itself is not an absolute. “Even in a very miserable condition you can be very happy if you are grateful for small mercies,” said Siddiqur Osmani, a professor of applied economics from the University of Ulster in Ireland. “If someone is starving and hungry and given two scraps of food a day, he can be very happy.”

But Mr. Messinger argued that the weaknesses of the established liberal model, dominated by economics, demanded the effort to reconsider happiness as a goal.

Bhutanese officials helped clear a way through the cross-paradigm incommensurabilities by offering empirical data. Bhutanese officials at the meeting described a variety of initiatives aimed at creating the conditions that are most likely to improve the quality of life in the most equitable way. Bhutan, which had no public education system in 1960, now has schools at all levels around the country and rotates teachers from urban to rural regions to be sure there is equal access to the best teachers, officials said. Another goal, they said, is to sustain traditions while advancing. People entering hospitals with nonacute health problems can choose Western or traditional medicine.

The more that various effects of a policy are considered, and not simply the economic return, the more likely a country is to achieve a good balance, said Sangay Wangchuk, the head of Bhutan’s national parks agency, citing agricultural policies as an example. Mr. Saul, the Canadian political philosopher, said that Bhutan’s shift in language from “product” to “happiness” was a profound move. Mechanisms for achieving and tracking happiness can be devised, he said, but only if the goal is articulated clearly from the start.

Bhutan’s effort, in part, is aimed at avoiding the American pattern seen in the study at Harvard, in which relative wealth becomes more important than the quality of life. “The goal of life should not be limited to production, consumption, more production and more consumption,” said Thakur S. Powdyel, a senior official in the Bhutanese Ministry of Education.

Still, even in Bhutan, not everyone is happy. Some attendees, while welcoming Bhutan’s goal, gently criticized the Bhutanese officials for dealing with a Nepali-speaking minority mainly by driving tens of thousands of them out of the country in recent decades, saying that was not a way to foster happiness. Members of the country’s delegation acknowledged that poverty and alcoholism remained serious problems. The pressures of neoliberal globalization are also increasing. Bhutan linked itself to the global cultural pipelines of television and the Internet in 1999, and there have been increasing reports in its nascent media of violence and disaffection, particularly among young people.”Bhutan is not a pure Shangri-La, so idyllic and away from all those flaws and foibles,” stated Karma Pedey, a Bhutanese educator. The delegation reminded their peers that their model is a work in progress.